Additional 152 Chipping Norton Rented Homes Required by 2027
I have been doing some research, looking both at national and regional reports, on the demand and supply of property and people together with future projections on the economy, population and family demographics with some interesting results. According to the Office of National Statistics, in the last financial year nationally, private renting grew by 74,000 households, whilst the owner occupied dwelling stock increased by 101,000 and social (aka council and housing association) stock increased by 12,000 dwellings.
It was the private rental figures that caught my eye. With eight or nine years of recovery since the credit crunch, economic recovery and continuing low interest rates have done little to slow down the mounting need for rented housing. In fact, with house price inflation pushing upwards much quicker than wage growth, this has resulted in the goal of owning one’s home even more out of reach for many Millennials - all at a time when the number of council/social housing units has shrunk by just over 2.5% since 2003, making more households move into private renting.
There are 756 people living in 354 privately rented
properties in Chipping Norton.
In the next nine years, looking at the future population growth statistics for the Chipping Norton area and making careful and moderate calculations of what proportion of those extra people due to live in Chipping Norton will rent as opposed to buy, 324 people (adults and children combined) will require a private rented property to live in.
Therefore, the number of private rented homes in Chipping Norton will need to rise by 152 households over the next nine years,
That’s 17 additional Chipping Norton properties per year that will need to be bought by Chipping Norton landlords, for the next nine years to meet that demand.
….. and remember, I am being conservative (with a small ‘c’) with those calculations, as demand for privately rented homes in Chipping Norton could still rise more abruptly than I have predicted. I would ask if Theresa May’s policies of building 400,000 affordable homes which would syphon in this 5-year Parliamentary term is rather optimistic, if not fanciful?
So, one has to ask wonder if it was wise to introduce a buy to let stamp duty surcharge of 3%? Also could the constraint on mortgage tax relief curtail and hold back the ability of private landlords to expand their portfolios?
Well, a lot of landlords are taking on these new hurdles to buy to let and they are working more smartly. Buying the property at the right price and using an agent to negotiate on your behalf (we do this all the time) ….. the 3% stamp duty level isn’t an issue. Incorporating your property portfolio into a limited company is also a way to circumnavigate the issues of mortgage tax relief although there are other obstacles that need to be navigated on that tack. But just look at the growth of proportion of buy to let properties in the country since the summer of 2016 ….. something tells me smart landlords are seeing these challenges as just that …... challenges which can be overcome by working more smartly.
Every week I have a steady stream of Chipping Norton landlords asking me my opinion on the future of the Chipping Norton property market and their individual future strategy. Whether you are a landlord of mine or not, if you ever want to send me an email or pop into my office to chat about how you could navigate these new buy to let waters it will be good to speak to you (because you wouldn’t want other landlords to have an advantage over you, would you?).
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